2012-09-26
2012-10-04
x obama administration
x new york

STATION
FOXNEWS 18
CNN 13
CNNW 13
CSPAN 7
FBC 7
CSPAN2 4
MSNBCW 2
CNBC 1
MSNBC 1
LANGUAGE
English 83

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the federal government with their boots on our neck. when george bush was president, we lost 700,000 jobs per month. all these programs were in place at the time. the only addition is the health care act, which has not been fully implemented. i think that you have a selective memory of where we are in this country and how we got to where we currently are. >> i must say, mr. sadler may well be the only person, the only small business owner, former small-business owner in the state who does not think the regulatory and tax burden under this administration has make -- made life harder to create jobs. i will tell you, crisscrossing the state, it does not matter, east texas, west texas, austin, dallas, houston, small-business owners say their life has become much harder with the regulatory uncertainty and burdens. two-thirds of all new jobs come from small-business. >> i am not hearing that from small business. you keep saying that, but i do not hear it. >> in response to the romney video, a obama video service in which he discusses market forces and competition, but also the redistribution of wea

that was been wrongly at the seat of george bush in the republican party when it goes back to democratic house important -- but nevertheless i wrote in that book that romney would make a great presidential nominee. i didn't know who the nominee would be. it's not a book about romney. i was proven remarkably impressionable by the 2007 book. the dean of the columbia school of journalism. the new yorkers national political reporter and always the go to guy for national political stories. the profile the in 2005 for the new yorker. it was a very nice piece. he told his liberal democratic leaders, the most influential conservative you ever heard of. okay. [laughter] that's okay, i guess. i don't really speak to the manhattan crowd, the your crowd. how many of you describe to the new yorker? i rest my case. he had read that and remembered that i've written this book about romney. what do you think now? have read the book. no, i haven't. go back and read in and coming back. he did. he called me back in about a week. what do you think of the book? we talked about it. in fact, i made predictions about

actually make it faster. this is where the obama campaign sees their opportunity. george w. bush, obviously, his prime economic policy was a set of very large tax cuts. they did not have a very positive effect on the economy, even before the recession. it was a very, very weak expansion. and so governor romney has come in and he's proposed very, very large tax cuts again. and he hasn't wanted, in order to get away from the bush part, he hasn't wanted to explain them too much. in fact, paul ryan, his running mate says, the math is just too hard. but it really isn't. and i would imagine the obama administration, or obama's going to go through tonight, you really only need to know two numbers about romney's tax plan, one is $480 billion. that's the cost of it in 2015, just to pick one year. and the other is $251 billion. that's the amount that will go to very wealthy families. now, mitt romney's promise, his tax plan won't cost a dime on the deficit. so he somehow needs to get $480 billion out of the tax code by closing breaks and loopholes, seems like the mortgage interest deduction, and also

of a broader pattern where the obama white house wants to continue george w. bush's anti-terror policies, even expand them in terms of drone strikes and so on without completely acknowledging what they're doing. but in this case, it's made them look ridiculous. it seems unnecessary. >> i've lived in the middle east and in libya. and nothing that you see is as it seems. you don't have any idea who these people r. they showed up with grenade launch easy and sophisticated weapons. but in libya today, everybody's got some. >> that's fine. you don't even have to say, this is definitely terrorism. you just don't spend a week saying, well, it's all about this video that was made in southern california and the muslim world is really angry. if you want to hedge your bets, okay. but they didn't. they went all in -- >> i'm going to apologize for them for wanting to get all the facts before they opened up their mouths and started blabbering. >> they did open up their mouths and start blabbering. >> i'm going to cut them a little slack for wanting to get all the facts before they go out and say it was a te

. president obama had two appointees. george w. bush had two appointees. bill clinton had two. but there could be a bunch in a hurry. justice ginsburg is the most likely to leave. and if president obama wins, that wouldn't change the balance of five republicans and four democrats. but if the five-to-four balance shifts, you could see dramatic dramatic changes in the court. it all depends on who >> do you simply assume president obama would name someone like sonja sot ma yor or clarence thomas for that matter? can you just assume those would be the possibilit probabilities if you will? >> that is precisely what i would assume. you know, there's a mythology about the court that presidents often areurprised by how their justices turn out. but you know, that is very much the exception rather than the rule. if you look at the justices currently on the court right now, every single one of them has turned out more or less as re there are individual cases, there are surprises. i certainly was surpred by roberts' vote in the affordable care act case. hatlarge presidents w you e is what you get. iden yo

's important to remember george w. bush and karl rove have a brilliant strategy of outreach to the hispanic voters and a less successful. george bush won at least 40% of the vote. it's more like 40. stila does a remarkable accomplishment, and now he's pulling at best in the mid-20s with the hispanic vote and his own campaign said the need to reach 38% nationally to be competitive in the state where the latino vote will be critical, so the republican party lurched to the right in recent years instead of george w. bush, karl rove, john mccain. let's reach out to the hispanics and make reform something. it's become a party that mitt romney says there is a model he's promised a veto. the gerry before the radical policy prescription called deportation, the idea of making life so miserable here that immigrants are literally purged from the country so it's hurt badly but hispanics. the strategy, that strategy means as you point out in your excellent paper, really the southwest is out of reach in large part because of this. they've pulled off the mexico. they have a shot in colorado and nevada but

were they in 2000 when george bush told a first election? where were they in ohio when he stole second election? where were they in the war in iraq? as far as parties go, the democrats control both congress, the senate, and the president to help people passed social security and medicare and food stamps. any port middle-class or working-class person that boats for a republican -- that votes for republicans -- this world would be back with it was in the 1930's. people to have the minimum wage. \ guest: that was very interesting laying out what is happening in this country. you raise the issue of the minimum wage. the democrats have not been pushing for that to be increased either. this is a very serious issue, the issue of a minimum wage of eight livable wage. -- oh a little -- of a liv able. i agree it is not a liberal media in this country. let's go back to the bombing of iraq in 2003. there was a report of the four nightly newscasts. in a two-week period, colin powell pushing for war in the u. n, it was the final nail in the coffin. he had been hesitant about the war. he was very cre

back and looked at 2004 for example when you had john kerry and george bush. in sort of late september bush was ahead of kerry by about seven points. after the first debate it was a two-point margin because john kerry did very well. then george w. bush came back and did better at the next debate. but he did narrow the gap after that first debate. and in a race that's as closes a this, wolf, that could make all the difference. >> very close in florida and virginia, for example and a debate tonight could impact the undecided voters. thanks, gloria. >> uh-huh. >>> you want to talk about the trial of the century, it could have happened if the raid in pakistan had unfolded differently. and a woman who came close to death in portland, maine's harbor can thank her lucky stars for some alert bystanders ready to help her. everyone has goals. take the steps to reach yours, with us with real advice, for real goals. the us bank wealth management advisor can help you. every step of the way. from big steps, to little steps. since 1863 we've helped guide our clients, so they can take the steps to hel

to win. george w. bush, back in 2004, was at kind of 48% in october, but then by the time the election came around, he was, you know, at 52%, 53%. so he kind of passed that threshold. so it's very important because again, if people approve of you, they're going to give you the benefit of the doubt, even if they believe that things are not headed in the right direction yet. it means that they have a certain sense of optimism about what you can do for them in the future, and that's so important for president obama right now, because mitt romney is making the case that the president cannot fix the economy, that he's the only one who can do that and the public at least for now seems to be saying you know what, that may not be true. we're going to give him another shot at it. >> john, did all this stuff happen really in the wake of the convention? it seems like, maybe i'm wrong, but the convention kind of changed the narrative or the mood or something. did it? >> there's no question that the democrats, meaning the president, got much more out of his convention than governor romney and the r

. >> they matter enormously. one of the models that president obama has, president george h.w. bush, president bush senior. his rolodex and his friendships made an enormous difference in the quality of his presidency on foreign policy. you know, when saddam went into kuwait and the united states was able to round up all those friends, a lot of that had to do with the personal relationships that george bush senior had established over time, and people give you the benefit of the doubt when there's skepticism. look at the distrust that exists between netanyahu and president obama on that very issue alone. we could have a conflict with iran that sort of comes through just the two people not having a very good personal relationship and maybe misreading each other. i think these things are very, very important in international diplomacy, especially in the middle east. >> critics of governor romney say look, he's done his share of light interviews but it's a different, i mean, the standard for somebody campaigning who is not in public office and somebody who is president of the united states is very diff

, former specialist assistant to george w. bush, ron christine joining us, and freedom watch president, bush staffer, brad blakeman. brad, good to have you with us. brad, starting, if i may, with you. this is becoming an unwieldy weight for the administration. surely, they understand how urgent it is that the record be set straight and soon. >> well, here's where the cover up begins. they are trying to cover tracks by saying initially the intelligent services told them it was a spoon tape yows attack, but the key questions, lou, is what did the president know? when did he know it? when did the narrative change? did the president ask questions? was he briefed in person? or rely on paper reports? one thing is for sure, lou, and that's this. if this happened in new york, if one of the ambassadors picked off the streets in new york and the consulate in new york to the u.n. was damaged like in libya, there would have been hell to pay. what's the difference between where our ambassadors picked off by terrorist terrorists whether the votes of new york or benghazi. how is it possible the admin

ahead of george burke, after the sigh, he stalled out and george bush still lost that election, but he closed in close enough for the supreme court to make the call at home plate. but, my favorite, the absolute best debate moment of all lloyd benson, 1988 versus dan quayle. >> i have as much experience in the congress as jack kennedy did when he got the presidency. >> senator i served with jack kennedy. i knew jack kennedy. jack kennedy was a friend of mine. senator, you're no jack kennedy. [ cheers and applause ] >> that was really uncalled for senator. >> you're the one that was making the comparison, senator. >> oh, smack! >> i love that! >> and there's one more. let's keep them on a high note. there's one more not from a general election debate but from a primary just last year with one of our favorite candidates in the republican primary mr. governor rick perry. >> it's three agencies of government i when i got there that are gone, commerce, education and the -- what's the third one there? oh,! >> commerce, education and the... >> e.p.a.? >> e.p.a. >> seriously? is e.p.a. what you

percent. >> yes. >> gretchen: what about the other 90 percent? >> steve: george bushes fault? >> gretchen: i am anding a question. >> you are exposing the attitude of the establishment media to all of president obama and his economic record. break it down. the president said i am only 10 percent responsible for a massive accumulation of debt. he is a big spender, a very big spender and that's the principle reason why we have a massive deficit of trillion a year. he has raised government spending the latestleast of modern presidents. but he raised it 23. look at pure obama areas, he is the biggest spending since president truman. >> steve: what is interesting george bush 3.2. spending up 3.2. over lap bush and obama 10 percent . the cure obama years. 10-13. that is 23 percent increase. >> steve: why didn't you make that available to people of 60 minutes. >> would they have use today? i don't think so. >> brian: it was carried over with interest. and he's only responsible for 10 percent of the deficit that is being pened on him. >> you can juggle around the numbers all you like. he said it

on getting things done as opposed to be able to message i care like george h.w. bush. >> a compassionate conservative like george w. bush projected himself. >> first of all, the government that george w. bush was already a true conservative. he didn't ve to lock that portion of his base up. wolf, i got to say it. trust me, after playing that sound bite on the health care in massachusetts, you can literally feel erick cringe as mitt romney said that because, again, he says i'm going to rpeal obama care but then he comes back later and says i'm going to implement some pies oe affordable care act. so, dude, yan't have it both ways. and that's romney's problem. he is boxedin beuse he was the one who passed universal health care in achusetts. now we have it nationa ankee erick who desperatelyto s a republican president are going, oh, my god, here he goes again. >> go ahead, erick. >> yep. well, i keep a little airpla he front pocket in front of me for times like this. i remember a lot of republican candidates saying it's going to be hard for him to make the case on obama care. we're finding t

at american enterprise institute and former speechwriter for president george w. bush. mark, what the intel services are telling us now is that not only was what she said not true, but this administration knew it wasn't true and they knew it for several days. not only did they know this was a terrorist attack, but, they knew it had been listed officially inside the government as a terrorist attack. that they were searching for the suspects. that it was an attack on u.s. soil, which a u.s. consulate is. and the first u.s. ambassador to be killed since 1979. they knew all that when susan rice was sent out to tell us it was in response to a video and just a spontaneous act. what, please put this in perspective for us. >> well, let's have the most generous interpretation possible for this administration. when eli lake broke the story, why i think it is wrong, this is only explanation possible. when eli lake broke the story. megyn: "daily beast". >> yeah for "the daily beast", soon after the attack we had a pretty good bead on some of the individuals involved in the attack. another one said we h

, in 2008, we came off of 8 years of george bush and the faith based community has embraced george bush and had someone been disappointed with some the effects of that. then we had john mccain who really never came out and endorsed the faith community at all. and then we had a president elected and all of us were excited. i was excited with the hope and change message. hoping some good things happen. i vote for democrats. i vote for republicans. i was excited about that. after four years, looking at issues like same sex marriage, all of the life issues which the president does not stand for, and you see religious liberty being attacked as never before in this country. the faith-based community now understands what the alternative is is. and we understand that mitt romney, while some have said well, he is a mormon he is not an evangelical may not be the candidate of our religious choice, i can say with a surety that he aligns with family values, with the same sex marriage values, with the life values much more with the evangelical community than this president does. >> dr. mark smith, yo

't be an awkward one that sinks their campaign. recall 1992 when president george h.w. bush checks his watch during a debate with then-candidate bill clinton. the gesture gave voters the impression that he was impatient and uninterested. during the 2000 presidential debates, al gore got up in governor george w. bush's grill. look. [laughter] just a classic moment where he was invading his personal space a little, and, boy, did he take some flak. mr. bush gave him a nod and kept talking. in one of the more unusual moments during the vice presidential debates in '92 between republican dan quayle, democrat al gore and the third party running mate of ross perot who was admiral james stockdale, there was this moment. >> admiral stockdale, your opening statement, please, sir. >> who am i? [laughter] why am i here? [laughter] [applause] megyn: he was totally charming and likable but also got a lot of criticism for his performance in that debate, and, you know, his family later came out and said they thought it was unfortunate because they thought it changed his legacy, and he was a very honorable man. in

a more effective version. as we carry on george w. bush's policies. on israel i think some of the romney charges are accurate. the fact is that the president has gratuitously alienated the prime minister of israel on an issue frankly was not relevant, which was settlements. and i don't think, unlike bill clinton, and george w. bush, that this president has the kind of emotional sensitivity that think is required to create some measure of partnership with the israelis even though netanyahu is a difficult guy. on syria, look, let's be clear. we're coming off the two longest wars in american history. the last thing we need is another military adventure that isn't thought through very clearly. on iran, no matter who is president we have got big trouble coming. israelis rightly need to figure out a way to prevent iran from enriching uranium. the question is, whether or not you can do that short of war? and right now, neither barack obama nor mitt romney, nor benjamin netanyahu have answers to that. so --. >> brought us through some very important regions in the middle east and it is such a bi

george w. bush used to say that? mitt romney needs to figure out, let's say he's down three, five, ten points. he needs to figure out how to define his message and get to the people of those swing states and pretend like he is actually down in the polls. you usually fight harder when you are. >> steve: there is no doubt the main stream media has the deck stacked against mitt romney. and if they are stacking the deck with the polls as well, at least we're telling you that's a possibility. we asked you for some e-mail. judy in florida says, quote, i definitely feel the media tweaking the polls to give the appearance everybody wants president obama to win and to take away momentum from mitt romney. i think people will be surprised, quite surprised on election day. >> brian: no doubt, says jason, governor romney must break through the media bias by being aggressive and be on message and discuss the failures of the president. you can be aggressive and not personal. that's one of the concerns. what you are describing is a concern about our show. live, we could have fun. the daily show, they

: you're so right. the up and down glance is so george bush as everybody came to know him in the years to come. thank you very much, nick. the best moments the unscripted ones. >> good chatting with you. >> martha: we'll see what happens tonight's. so we've got new letters that we want to talk to you about that are revealing stunning information about what happened before the deadly attack on our consulate in libya. katherine herrage has brand-new information and a look at these documents which you need to stick around for, very important development, that's coming up next. and also we promised this story has a happy ending, folks. the dog gets stuck in the grill of a car for 11 miles. i kid you not. stick around. we'll be right back. more "fox & friends" >> announcer: meet jill. she thought she'd feel better after seeing her doctor. and she might have, if not for kari, the identity thief who stole jill's social security number to open credit cards, destroying jill's credit and her dream of retirement. now meet amanda. with a swipe of her debit card, she bought some gas... and an all-e

hampshire governor john sununu. he served as chief of staff under george w. bush. i read a quote from a white house spokesperson and she says he hasn't had t president because of the demands of the office, to work too much on debate preparation. what are your thoughts on that? >> spin, spin, spin. let him start spinning why his 3 1/2 years have been a failure. this is an important event. debates are important. the two candidates will stand side by side and the voters are going to get a chance to evaluate. and i can't believe how hard the white house is working to spin that the president, a, is not very goods, and b, that he had no chance to prepare. that's called buying two insurance policies in case he sceud up in the debate the way he screwed up as president. martha: your candidate has been dragging in ohio, michigan, and he's behind in florida where he was once ahead. what would be your advice? what would you tell mitt romney to do tomorrow night? >> i think the governor knows what he has to do is make sure people feel he has the capacity to fill the job. but more importantly, that

george w. bush. how close to a reality could is be? >> hard to tell pop probably not the concern many have. remember, as your teaser said, the obama administration did want to close guantanamo within a year and move the detainees to the states. but it was pelosi and harry reid who said you can't use any federal funds to move guantanamo detainees to the united states and you can't use funds to buy or rehab a facility in the united states. jamie: why acquire it? >> there is overcrowding in some federal facilities. this is a well-built relatively new facility. it's been sitting dormant. i take them at their word that they want to utilize it to ease overcrowding and to bring jobs to the area. but the scepticism that some have is that the obama administration will make an end run around federal law, democrats and republicans, and try to close gitmo on the chief. jamie: there is so much overcrowding of the state prisons that the governor is releasing some prisoners locally that should potentially be behind bars, residents of illinois may argue. why not leave that opportunity or even assist

. 25.4% know more jobs were created in the first term of barack obama then the last term of george bush. that is a claim you see back- and-forth in advertising about who lost jobs and gained jobs. public confusion is to be expected. 31% knew that when mitt romney was governor of massachusetts, job growth in massachusetts improved. a claim in which democrats are trying to muddy the waters. in a long way to go in terms of improving public knowledge. we see deceptions that have been reinforced a lot in advertisements. 53.8% know that the statements are not accurate. barack obama has dropped all work requirements for individuals receiving welfare. 53.8% now that is not accurate. the rest either have the answer wrong or say they do not know. 41.6% know that this statement is not accurate -- mitt romney says that as president he will work to make abortion illegal in all circumstances. deceptions in ads being believed need more public knowledge. next slide. on matters of background knowledge, in which the item was in the news for an extended period, they have higher levels of background base k

under president obama as compared to the george w. bush years. >> dave: from george w. bush and not free from criticism. 4.9 trillion dollar increase in the nation's debt. but here we are three years into the obama presidency talking 5.36 trillion dollar increase in our nation's debt. that's pretty simple to fact check. i'm surprised joe biden continues to bait those fact checkers, with statements like that. that's a pretty-- that's a slam-dunk. >> alisyn: because people don't listen to his speeches with the calculator out and listen with their guts and resonates. they have been saying the same thing for the better part of almost four years so it must be working on the campaign trail with them. >> dave: and doing some hypnotizing before that. stare into the pen. >> alisyn: all right. let's get to your headlines, because, to tell you about right now. there was another insider attack that claimed the life of a soldier and contractor. 2000 american troops killed in afghanistan sense the war began. iran's president ahmadnejad says threats mean nothing, and the u.s. does not allow iran the ac

's a question of demeanor and personality. you can go back to famous debates, al gore and george bush where al gore sed more intelligent things on the stage but his demeanor was so lousy he got bad reviews. so, with a full month of october dedicated to these four weeks, these debates will probably erase a lot of opinions about both men and help undecided voters make up their minds. >> gregg: obama campaign suggests that romney wins the debate by appearing on the stage. is that true? >> there is some truth to that. they are belittling romney by that comment saying that barack obama is the incumbent chief executive. but by standing on the stage, mitt romney will have an opportunity to have his ideas and presentation compared first time, no reporters telling people how it can be interpreted or no analysts or pundits telling them how it should be interpreted. it will give an opportunity for mitt romney, he hopes, romney hopes to call out the president on some of the deceptions of his positions. mitt romney has argued that he does not support abortion with the exception of rape and incest and life

-islamic film. andy card is a former white house chief of staff under president george w. bush, and he's with me now. andy, so now the administration is going silent on it, saying we're not going to respond to this bombshell report out of congress that this is from the house oversight committee saying that they've got a bun p of whistleblowers who are now saying they were begging for more security other in libya at our consulate and not only was it not provided, but jason chafe fess was on fox news saying it had been downgraded, security had been diminished in part, and that, he says, was the prelude to the 9/11 attack which then, of course, resulted in four dead americans and evolved into this strange place, andy can, where now we've got reports that a dozen, a dozen intelligence reports went up to administration officials saying this is terror, it was an al-qaeda-linked group. and five days after they send susan rice on the round of sunday talk shows. what is going on here? >> well, it's all very troubling to me. first of all, if, in fact, we were asked to beef up the security at our consulate

george w. bush. [laughter] i licensed the heck out of this image, and i had a t-shirt on one time and i was in a store in east l.a., and a little homey came up to me and said, "yo, 'planet of thess apes' shirt." i was like, "you're so close, mijo." [laughter] [applause] >> and your spanish is so good. [laughter] this is just a look at the election as it shapes up. i drew this cartoon about a year ago, obama trying to ignite the economy. the republicans are trying to -- well. [laughter] this is an illustration. it is several panels long of what the problem really is. you know, we complain about democrats and republicans running for the presidency, but it is really the guys in congress who are the problem. this is kicking the debt can down the road. and then, of course you -- [laughter] to get up because i cannot read it from here. i'm getting old. out wass pull- disappointing. i am glad newt is running, but i'm really hoping for sarah palin." "you republicans are getting desperate." "actually, i am apolitical cartoonist." [laughter] sarah palin -- "i have that fire in my belly." "i know

was president. his one word explanation for his problem is, bush, george bush caused all of these problems. the, unfortunately, mitt romney is in some way saying the same thing. he is saying the economy has been weak and bad for four years and barack obama has been president. i think that is insufficient. what people want, that is basically kind of a bullet point presentation. what voters are asking is, what did barack obama do while he was president to create such a weak economy? and they're sitting there waiting for mitt romney to give them that explanation. hopefully he will do it in the big debate next wednesday night. jenna: we'll see if he gets into specifics. always nice to read articles and thanks for joining us on the program. >> nice to be with you. jenna: gregg? gregg: police trying to determine what caused a man to open fire inside a business killing four people this morning. the latest on the deadly workplace shooting. >>> investigators blaming a bird strike for a fatal plane crash. details on the pilot's last-ditch efforts to save his passengers. jenna: right now 19 people are dea

to reform the internal revenue service. i've worked with george bush and john mccain to normalize relations with vietnam. it was a wonderful bipartisan accomplishment that i am proud of. it is not just identifying republicans. the rules have to change, and i promise you, i believe i can persuade americans to amend the constitution, to allow the congress to ban both outside money and limit the amount of money in campaigns because it is corrupting our political decision-making. we need to change the rules of the filibuster and reduce the number of committees, to reform the congressional pension. there are many changes that need to occur, not just identifying somebody that i can work with, but who am i going to fight. i will be fighting with mitch mcconnell and harry reid on a regular basis. >> thank you. you have 30 seconds for a bottle. -- for rebuttle. >> throughout my adult life i have been fortunate to serve on a number of boards, commissions. i was a school board member over 20 years. you learn to work with people. on a school board you work with educators and people with the community.

that are he proposed are policies that can be portrayed as being just like george w. bush's policies. he must talk about the future. he has to persuade people he has a plan going forward. his problem is that most of his plans wreak of the past, and the obama campaign will attack him for that. but if he doesn't pivot to the future, he's just going to lose this election because people have now decided right now that more or less they think barack obama's better on the economy, and that's the biggest change in the polls recently is obama taking the lead for the first time in who voters trust going forward. >> and he doesn't have a message that is consistent. because in ohio, he confused his tax message. so if he is going to offer tax cuts and then say but you will have the same amount of money because i'm going to eliminate deductions, but president obama actually didn't increase your taxes, which was a misstatement of his past -- in the last 48 hours, he has completely muddled his tax message, and you can't do that as a republican and win against an incumbent president who's popular. >> the rom

and all that. and when all that comes together and it did in 2000 for george w. bush against al gore, then you can take a race with a republican who is trailing about the same amount that romney's trailing now and they reverse that and bush left the debates with a lead. that's the model. >> foreign policy still a wild card, too. and even some polls on the economy, romney seems for be doing better on those. two points on the gwu poll today, right? and we'll get rasmussen -- >> i didn't see gw. i saw a "washington post" abc poll showed two points among likely voters nationally. >> in was two on gwu, too. politico was two points. rasmussen and gallup at 5 and rasmussen at 2. >> polls it show obama up 11 in swing states. that sounds high to me. but in any case, obama's ahead, romney has to change something. he has a chance to do it. >> all right, john harwood, thank you. >> today is the start of the fourth quarter. and joining us is teach stanley, chief economist for peerpont securities. the lead story is how trade is slowing around the world. all of europe's problems getting exported to

this time. back in 2004, democrats complained that the polls which showed george w. bush leading were overestimating the number of republicans who would vote. they were wrong. the polls were right. in 2000, al gore said don't believe the polls, polls showed him losing narrowly. polls were right. in fact, it's hard to find an example of the polls on average getting it wrong unless you go back to 1948, when they predicted thomas dewey defeated president harry truman. cnn political contributor ari fleischer joins us. he's an occasionally unpaid communications advisor for the romney campaign. also cornell belcher and our own john king. so ari, i do not hear republicans complaining, you know, a few months ago when mitt romney seemed up in these polls. >> well, here's what i think you have to do. i don't think it's conspiracy but i think you have to apply a common sense test. here's what we know. the last time there was a major election in 2012, we had an exit poll in the state of wisconsin that was wrong. it showed the race was going to be neck and neck, the exit poll did, and of course go

china in my first term as opposed to president george w. bush did in his two terms in office. >> yeah, i think that romney is going to throw deep a little bit because he is behind and take some chances. there is a china currency bill. china bashing on the campaign trail always works. there is a china currency bill that came out of the senate, bipartisan support of 16 republicans, mitt romney will have to talk about more about that bill. that is something the obama administration has not embraced. that is a b bipartisan bill. john boehner is not a fan of that bill but mitt romney will have to tuck more about that to goes the gap in ohio. arthel: we'll be watching. it's an exciting race to say the least and weep it here on the fox news channel for all your details all the way up to november 6th and beyond. thank you, bob. jon: remembering andy williams, we'll look back at life and career of a singer who brought us some unforgettable music, hits like "moon river," "can't get used to losing you." as arthel just mentioned president obama and governor mitt romney both in the battleground state

. george w. bush did not have a friendly media, and the last time i checked, he was elected twice. so i don't think it's impacted this campaign. the romney campaign is their own worst enemy. >> today it's worse than ever before where people are blatantly out to protect this president and not give true reporting. >> well, that's a real suggestion of analysis, that's suggestive analysis, and you're entitled to your -- >> i gave you examples. >> a couple of them are false. the fact that the president did not have a press conference to announce the fact that this was a terrorist attack does not mean he didn't announce it. >> [inaudible] >> he said it publicly. jon: but it has been uncovered by our bret baier just today that the administration within the first 24, maybe 48 hours knew that the benghazi attack was a terrorist attack, and yet susan rice, the ambassador to the united nations -- >> right. jon: -- was out on the sunday shows four or five days after the attack -- >> saying that it budget. >> right. jon, frankly, i don't know enough about the sequence of events to comment on that. >> bu

john f. kennedy, and in 2000 when gore was condescending toward george w. bush. the point is, more than zingers, what seems to affect the outcome is your general likability. how you come across. last point, carol, i saw newt gingrich give advice to mitt romney. he said that these debates. his expert told him it's 85% visual, how you look, 10% how you say something, your tone, and 5%, only 5% what you actually say. that would certainly reinforce this likability prism. >> well, that 5%'s kind of depressing. >> it is. >> well, let me ask you this about likability. remember in 2008, obama had a problem with likability and he's turned that around. he's now the more likable candidate. there is a danger to him to appear unlikable in this debate if he gets too snippy or too condescending or too professorial. >> absolutely because he's coming from a position of authority or power. everyone expects him to win this debate, everyone, apparently except for governor chris christie. so he will have -- there is a danger of him coming in to this thing perhaps sounding overconfident. because even though

, for example, which counties in colorado switched from 2004 to 2008, from george bush to obama in 2008, and then using that framework. i did a road trip over the summer stopping in colorado, iowa, later florida, and with that kind of baseline knowledge of the voters i was looking for, where are the places to go, and then it was just a man on the street on steroids, -- it was just man on the street on steroids. people going about their daily lives. what were the stories they were paying attention to, what they were not paying attention to, and from that, i kind of met some characters that i have returned to and look back -- that i have returned to and looked at, and i would think that this was completely anecdotal. i think it is valuable to hear those voices. they are voices we do not quite hear enough. the follow-up calls or the voters to turn out at rallies because the reporters get one or two urgency bites before they get back on the bus or on the plane -- reporters get one or two juicy bites. i welcome any thought about how to make it better or less anecdotal, but the one question i

president obama can blame george bush for this. i think this is a new vulnerability if romney mr. exploit it and that remains to be seen. >> brian: 55 more gitmo detainees will be loose. it will be interesting to see. bill, you don't think it's that big a deal. you say this story has been out there for a week and the polls haven't moved much. >> i think it's an interesting story as far as journalism is concerned but i don't think the folks are locked in on it. i think the governor would be smart to make it part of his package tomorrow night of imcompetence. look, mitt romney, it's all on him. all on him. all president obama has to do is basically just be himself and not say anything, just repeat the same old thing. mitt romney has to convince the american people that going forward, he's a better alternative than the president. it's not going to be easy. so he's going to have to paint the president as an incompetent. this libya thing can be part of that, but certainly the economy, way more important to the folks than libya. but he can weave it. the second thing is that romney has got to ki

assistant to george w. bush. santita let me start with you. americans are very unhappy with the economy, the president says he's unhappy too. is his challenge to explain how the next four years would be any different? and if you look at his convention speech i'm not sure there is any difference. >> you know i think that his great challenge is the same challenge that governor romney faces tomorrow night, which is to be relaysable an rerelatable and likable. likability really does matter. gregg: you don't think people really want specifics, tell me mr. president how the next four years is any different. >> you know, gregg you have to balance style with substance. the fact is they'll have to run against their narrative in a time of great economic want. you've got a very, very wealthy man who is running. i'm not saying he can't relate to the poor but governor romney is going to have to do that. president obama is someone who is prove sore kwral and known for his excellence. gregg: insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result. the president has been describ

served as the homeland security adviser to president george w. bush and is now in private practice and watching 10. can, please. >> it's dangerous to be on a panel that starts off with a reference to "playboy" magazine but i will see if i can catch my breath and go for. thanks very much and it's good to be here. i've been asked to talk about three cases. one is against a national security case and the two more regular criminal cases. let me start with the national security case and that is called proper versus fantasy generational. it is a standing case relating to a challenge to what is called the fisa amendment act. the fisa amendment act was passed in 2008 and it was an amendment, very substantial mimic of the foreign intelligence surveillance act passed in 1978 and understand the standing issue, you have to understand the merits a little bit. >> for those watching on c-span what is standing? >> standing is the question of whether a party actually has the right to appear in court and to challenge in this case to challenge the statute. just to get ahead of things, the plaintiffs

of approaching. you think back to george w. bush when the whole war on terror started and there was always talk about what a tough battle this was going to be for the rest of our lifetimes basically. and sort of admitting that up fronts, but that the efforts were diligent to make sure that we were going to continue to combat this war on terror. it's almost as if right now 36 days before the election, you don't really want to talk about that side of it, that there might be a reinsurgentence now of equaled, even though osama bin laden is dead. there might still be a resurgence of al-qaeda. >> eric: last night on "60 minutes," there was a fantastic piece on interviewing president karzai from afghanistan and also our general boots on the ground in afghanistan, they have a little bit different take on where al-qaeda is. take a listen. >> al-qaeda has come back. al-qaeda is a resilient organization. but they're not here in large numbers. but al-qaeda doesn't have to be anywhere in large numbers. >> the reason for the nato and american intervention in afghanistan was terrorism. terrorism has not gone

were in charge during the george w. bush administration, there were at least a dozen attacks on u.s. embassies and consulates. you know, governor romney likes to use the term peace through strength which he borrows from ronald reagan. during the reagan administration, our embassy and marine barracks were bombs in beirut. and the last time these folks were in charge -- and believe me, it would be the same folks running the foreign policy establishment if you elected mitt romney -- these folks led us into the most disastrous foreign policy decision in a generation which was the invasion of iraq. it empowered iran, it created a trillion dollars of debt charged on the national credit card, it killed more than 4,000 americans, it wounded more than 30,000, it left hundreds of thousands of iraqis dead or displaced. and yet these folks want us to hand the keys of foreign policy back to them? it's, it's -- i mean, the nerve of the individuals who drug us into the worst foreign policy disaster in the middle east in a generation, to say that they somehow understand this region better is, it'

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